The chance, according to NASA is 1 in 45,000, but if it hits one of the satellites, that would slightly change it's trajectory and make impact more likely. It will p by earth extremely closely in 2029 (it could even impact in that year although the chances are very remote) and the gravitational effects of the earth in changing its trajectory during that p have not been accurately determined. There will be two more close approaches between now and 2029 and the odds will be upgraded each time.
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